Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.004042 0.004434 0.004854 0.005341 0.005890 0.006491 0.007203
2025-08-31 0.003301 0.003826 0.004431 0.005184 0.006103 0.007197 0.008612
2025-09-07 0.002931 0.003523 0.004236 0.005169 0.006371 0.007890 0.009988
2025-09-14 0.002740 0.003393 0.004210 0.005324 0.006831 0.008836 0.011775
2025-09-21 0.002492 0.003158 0.004016 0.005227 0.006926 0.009286 0.012921
2025-09-28 0.002289 0.002958 0.003844 0.005129 0.006995 0.009687 0.014026
2025-10-05 0.002149 0.002828 0.003749 0.005123 0.007183 0.010267 0.015463
2025-10-12 0.002060 0.002760 0.003731 0.005218 0.007521 0.011099 0.017407
2025-10-19 0.001935 0.002630 0.003612 0.005152 0.007600 0.011525 0.018724
2025-10-26 0.001837 0.002532 0.003533 0.005134 0.007748 0.012073 0.020322
2025-11-02 0.001735 0.002420 0.003422 0.005058 0.007790 0.012439 0.021634
2025-11-09 0.001670 0.002359 0.003384 0.005091 0.008014 0.013141 0.023687
2025-11-16 0.001585 0.002266 0.003296 0.005042 0.008105 0.013639 0.025471
2025-11-23 0.001485 0.002144 0.003154 0.004896 0.008015 0.013794 0.026580
2025-11-30 0.001422 0.002076 0.003094 0.004882 0.008157 0.014407 0.028793
2025-12-07 0.001397 0.002066 0.003126 0.005027 0.008606 0.015679 0.032758
2025-12-14 0.001328 0.001981 0.003028 0.004936 0.008597 0.016011 0.034546
2025-12-21 0.001264 0.001902 0.002935 0.004845 0.008577 0.016318 0.036332
2025-12-28 0.001220 0.001853 0.002891 0.004840 0.008727 0.017010 0.039269
2026-01-04 0.001195 0.001834 0.002897 0.004928 0.009075 0.018189 0.043812
2026-01-11 0.001147 0.001774 0.002827 0.004866 0.009104 0.018635 0.046372
2026-01-18 0.001110 0.001729 0.002782 0.004850 0.009226 0.019320 0.049816
2026-01-25 0.001066 0.001672 0.002713 0.004779 0.009223 0.019695 0.052389